Continental Ranch - How Home Values have Changed

Had a little fun with some numbers and graphs today. Two things to show you.

First, this is a graph of average price per square foot for Continental Ranch from the start of 2004 through today, sold single family homes only:

continental ranch price per square feet over time

You can see the Continental Ranch market peaked sort of late 2005, early 2006. And that the spread of this data, the range in selling price per square foot, has grown wider over time as well. Some of those home owners are back to 2004 values, but not all.

One other thing I think this illustrates well - I’m asked near daily if we’ve reached the bottom of the market. But if you look at the period roughly between 9/2005 and 3/2006, there’s a 6 month spread of data where values don’t really go up or down. In this case, it signaled the start of values declining in Continental Ranch, but we didn’t see that numerically until 6 months later. I can’t call an official ‘bottom’ until prices start trending in the opposite direction, which may be half a year after the start of the change. Do I think we’re close? Probably, but there are some major events coming up soon that could change that answer depending on the outcome. The best you can do is to make decisions based on the information available today, and with an eye to how long you plan to own that home.

One more chart. I do love graphs.

sale to original list price ratio for continental ranch

This is a chart of the ratio of sale price to original list price since early 2004. Lots of home buyers want to know how much to offer. As we can see here in Continental Ranch, some homes are priced well, and sell at or near 100% of listed price, and others, well, others sell far below their original list price. And many more are selling far below list price than were a couple years ago. Is this a sign of Sellers pricing their homes unrealistically? Or agents not in touch with the market and overpricing? Or both?

Equal Housing Opportunity Realtor
Applied Real Estate Technology